Interpretable Sequence Learning for COVID-19 Forecasting Sercan ¨ O. Arik, Chun-Liang Li, Jinsung Yoon, Rajarishi Sinha, Arkady Epshteyn, Long T. Le, Vikas Menon, Shashank Singh, Leyou Zhang, Nate Yoder, Martin Nikoltchev, Yash Sonthalia, Hootan Nakhost, Elli Kanal, and Tomas Pfister Google Cloud AI ABSTRACT We propose a novel approach that integrates machine learning into compartmental disease modeling to predict the progression of COVID-19. Our model is explainable by design as it explicitly shows how different compartments evolve and it uses interpretable encoders to incorporate covariates and improve performance. Explainability is valuable to ensure that the model’s forecasts are credible to epidemiologists and to instill confidence in end-users such as policy makers and healthcare in

Join for free to read