White Paper

Four Scenarios for the Future of Travel and Tourism

Four Scenarios for the Future of Travel and Tourism

This WEF white paper outlines four scenarios for the future of travel and tourism in 2025, shaped by health risks, economic conditions, technology, and consumer behavior. The scenarios include: 1) “Seamless Travel,” enabled by trusted digital ID systems and cross-border data sharing; 2) “Turbulent Recovery,” marked by fragmented standards and regional isolation; 3) “Safety at the Core,” where security trumps convenience, limiting innovation; and 4) “Green Light,” where sustainability drives industry transformation. Each path explores trade-offs in privacy, resilience, equity, and collaboration, helping stakeholders plan for an uncertain future.

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