ZeroFox’s 2023 Polish Elections Assessment warns that democratic backsliding, anti-migrant sentiment, and Russian disinformation are shaping Poland’s political landscape. The ruling Law and Justice Party (PiS) faces declining support but may need a coalition with the far-right Confederation alliance, known for its anti-Semitic rhetoric. PiS’s anti-immigrant stance has been undermined by a visa scandal, while support for Ukraine weakens amid trade disputes. EU sanctions over judicial reforms threaten Poland’s economy, risking loss of funds and increasing tensions with Brussels. Russian influence operations exploit social divisions and economic fears, using cyberattacks and propaganda to destabilize Poland and weaken its pro-EU stance.

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