Four US Marines who used predictive modeling to enhance a system for forecasting equipment losses during combat have won a prestigious military award. Their analytics-enhanced Combat Active Replacement Factors (CARF) system is expected to save the corps billions of dollars. Lt. Col. David Scott, Capt. Aaron Burciaga, Cynthia Cheek and Janice Scoggins received the 2013 Rist Prize, given annually to honor the best example of implemented military operations research. The award recognizes the work they have done to update the CARF , the US Marine Corps’ system for forecasting equipment losses during combat. “This is a good-news story,” Burciaga says. “This is the Marine Corps thinking smarter, using best practices.” In this case, thinking smarter is leading to subs

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