Aviation Case Study Satavia Case Study Solution SATAVIA developed a model for forecasting transmission risk along an air bridge. Publicly reported case numbers are corrected, accounting for under-reporting and delays. The model is used to forecast the number of infected passengers flying on the air route using estimated passenger numbers, and the resulting impact on the destination country. The model can be used to compare air bridge destination countries to assess relative risk levels through a dashboard interface. SATAVIA uses aircraft tracking data from Spire Aviation to enable live monitoring of route usage, and thus live updates of virus importation risks. Historical analysis of route usage by aircraft type, airline and airport, allow forecasts of route-risk broken dow

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